The 122nd Memsie Stakes Fact Sheet

Form Focus Fact Sheet

The 122nd Memsie Stakes

1400m / Group 1 / Weight for age / First run: 1899

The Memsie Stakes (8 furlongs) was first staged at Caulfield on Saturday, September 2, 1899, at the September meeting conducted by the Victoria Amateur Turf Club. Victory went to 5yo stallion Veneda, owned and trained by John H. Davis and ridden by Thomas O’Brien. Veneda also captured the 1900 Oakleigh Plate later in season 1899-1900.

 The distance was extended to 9 furlongs the very next year (1900), remaining there until 1971 when shortened to 8 furlongs, becoming 1600m when metrics were introduced in 1972. In 1980, the race was shortened to its current distance of 1400m. Assigned Group 2 status in 1979, the Memsie was upgraded to Group 1 in 2013.

Traditionally staged in early September or late August, the Memsie Stakes has been continually conducted at Caulfield except for 1984 (Sandown) and from 1940-1944 (Flemington) due to Caulfield being utilised for military purposes during WWII.

The Memsie honour roll contains greats such as Phar Lap, Rising Fast, Makybe Diva, Manikato, Hall Mark, So You Think, Artilleryman and Galilee.

Multiple winners are Caulfield specialist Lord (x4), Ajax (x3), Eurythmic (x3) and dual winners Sunline, Sir Boom, Yangtze, Coppice, Comic Court, Waltzing Lily and Heroic.

With an amazing 11 victories, Jack Holt holds the trainers record, his first win coming with three-time winner Eurythmic in 1920 and his last with Noble Prince (1946). Ken Hilton (8 wins) and Mark Whitty (5 wins) follow behind Holt.

Frank Dempsey, Jack Purtell and Bill Williamson share the Memsie riding honours with five, one ahead of Geoff Lane on four.

Profile

Year T/R Winner Trainer Jockey A/S OR
2019 G4-TRUE SCALES OF JUSTICE L SMITH D YENDALL 7G 109
2018 G4-6M HUMIDOR D WEIR D LANE 6G 116
2017 G3-6M VEGA MAGIC TEAM HAYES C WILLIAMS 5G 111
2016 G4-6M BLACK HEART BART D WEIR B RAWILLER 7G 113
2015 S6-6M BOBAN C WALLER G SCHOFIELD 6G 114
2014 G3-6M DISSIDENT P MOODY B MELHAM 4H 107
2013 G4-6M ATLANTIC JEWEL M KAVANAGH M RODD 5M 116
2012 G4-6M SINCERO S FARLEY M RODD 5G 113
2011 G3-7M KING'S ROSE P MOODY L NOLEN 4M 96
2010 S7-10M SO YOU THINK J B CUMMINGS S ARNOLD 4H 116

T/R: (Track/Rail):

Rail is true again this year – bear in mind that at this meeting last year, 8 of the 9 winners were in the first 5 at the 400m (not at all surprising for Caulfield)

Trainers:

Lindsay Park (Team Hayes) have won 8 Memsies in total, including the trifecta in 1995 (Peter Hayes). Peter Moody has 2 wins while James Cummings’ illustrious grandfather (Bart) trained 4 winners of the race

Jockeys:

Damien Oliver has found this a hard nut to crack with 1 winner (Dane Ripper-1998) from 20 rides. Craig Williams (2), Damian Lane, Luke Nolen and Ben Melham are all past Memsie winners

A/S (Age & Sex):

Glenfiddich is the first 3yo to contest the Memsie since 1987 with just eight of his age group (one second) running in the race since 3yo Battle Sign won in 1975. Mares are more than okay with this race, 17 winning the race, 7 of those since 2000

OR (Official Handicap Rating):

This panel illustrates the class required to win this race (over the last decade) with just one winner (King’s Rose) holding a rating under 107

Punting

Year Winner BR Field SP Fav FP
2019 SCALES OF JUSTICE 5 13 $2.70F ALIZEE 3RD
2018 HUMIDOR 3 11 $2.50F VEGA MAGIC 4TH
2017 VEGA MAGIC 2 11 $2.25F VEGA MAGIC 1ST
2016 BLACK HEART BART 4 12 $2F BLACK HEART BART 1ST
2015 BOBAN 4 15 $5.50F BOBAN 1ST
2014 DISSIDENT 5 11 $4.20F BOBAN 5TH
2013 ATLANTIC JEWEL 7 13 $2.20F ATLANTIC JEWEL 1ST
2012 SINCERO 4 15 $3.60F SINCERO 1ST
2011 KING'S ROSE 11 13 $2.60F HEART OF DREAMS 2ND
2010 SO YOU THINK 9 11 $3F SHOOT OUT 3RD

Barriers:

A field of 13 or more has faced the starter 11 times since the race has been run over 1400m. Winning gates have been: 5-4-7-4-11-5-3-6-5-2-1. Indeed, a double-digit gate has been successful on just 6 occasions in this timeframe (since 1980)

SP (Favourite):

A 50% strike-rate in the last 10 years is a solid return for the favourite. Over the journey (121 editions) the favourite strikes at 39.66% (48 wins)

Longshots:

Coppice was 50/1 in 1954 when he became the longest-priced Memsie Stakes winner. Since then, only 7 winners have started at double-figure odds. Indeed, over the past decade, 46 runners have started at $22 or longer and none have secured a 1-2-3 place

Hotpots:

Ajax (1939) was 1/12f when he won his second Memsie, he won again in 1940 when 2/9f. Phar Lap started 1/6f when scoring in 1931

Performance

Year Winner A/S OR Last Start L3 Next Race
2019 SCALES OF JUSTICE 7G 109 2nd Spring Stk 1-2. 5th Makybe Diva
2018 HUMIDOR 6G 116 8th Lawrence 8 7th Makybe Diva
2017 VEGA MAGIC 5G 111 1st Regal Roller 1 2nd Everest
2016 BLACK HEART BART 7G 113 1ST UP 1ST UP 2nd Makybe Diva
2015 BOBAN 6G 114 1ST UP 1ST UP 4th Makybe Diva
2014 DISSIDENT 4H 107 1ST UP 1ST UP 1st Makybe Diva
2013 ATLANTIC JEWEL 5M 116 1ST UP 1ST UP 1st Stocks
2012 SINCERO 5G 113 1ST UP 1ST UP 5th Underwood
2011 KING'S ROSE 4M 96 1ST UP 1ST UP 1st Stocks
2010 SO YOU THINK 4H 116 1ST UP 1ST UP 1st Underwood

Last Start:

Worthy of note here is the Lawrence Stakes (under) influence with only 4 Memsie winners coming via the Lawrence (Liston) since 1980 – Humidor (2018), Weekend Hussler (2008), Regal Roller (2004), King Delamere (1984)

L3 (Last 3 Starts):

Racing fresh is clearly no disadvantage, although the trend has shifted over the past 3 years. Savatiano (1st Lawrence) seeks to match Regal Roller (2004) as the only horses to do the Lawrence-Memsie double since both races became 1400m

Next Race:

Last year’s Memsie provided two future Spring G1 winners in Begood Toya Mother (Rupert Clarke) and Black Heart Bart (Underwood). For the other 11 combatants, it was a winless Spring

Pros & Cons

Negative:

If we simply study the ten-year sample of past Memsie winners, we quickly discover one common element – all 10 had won previously at Group One level. This fact alone casts serious doubt over some of this year’s contestants, primarily non-G1 winners Iconoclasm, So Si Bon & Cascadian.

A wide draw at the Caulfield 1400m start is generally no luxury and the Memsie stats certainly back this up. The outside gates, (15) for Streets of Avalon and (14) for Princess Jenni hardly inspire confidence.

Beware:

Combine a double-digit draw, the poor strike-rate of the Lawrence winner into the Memsie (1 winner from 12 contestants since 1980) and yet to score at G1 level places Savatiano in the beware category.

Positive:

A mare with a prior G1 victory on her CV invariably performs well in the Memsie and the expectation of a Soft5 (Dead) rated track promotes both Arcadia Queen and Mystic Journey. Both should bounce forward from their Lawrence first-up outings. Naturally, the poor draw (13) for Arcadia Queen is a concern.

Of the six Memsie runners first-up in 2020, Mr Quickie has G1 win credentials (defeating Vow and Declare in the 2019 Queensland Derby) and a capacity to go extremely well fresh – his eye-catching first-up third in the 2019 Makybe Diva readily springs to mind. Longshots rarely get close in the modern-day Memsie – perhaps 2020 will be the exception.

Glenfiddich creates considerable interest. While it is rare for a stable to throw an emerging 3yo at an open age G1 WFA during August, we do note Dalasan turning over subsequent Memsie winner Scales of Justice in the SA Spring Stakes last year. Another clue perhaps can be found in the Warwick (Winx) Stakes in Sydney where only two 3yos have contested the race since 2000. Trusting (2009) and Lonhro (2001) both landed the cash, with Trusting scoring on just his third start

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