Form Focus Fact Sheet
The 70th Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes Fact Sheet
The 70th Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes
1400m / Group 1 / Handicap / First run: 1951
The Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes was first staged as the Invitation Stakes at Caulfield on Thursday, September 27, 1951, conducted by the Melbourne Racing Club. The leading jockeys of Australia were invited to ride in this newly created event, the race sharing top billing with the WFA Underwood Stakes. Attendance was 50,180.
Victory went to the 4yo Jovial Lad who was ridden by Eric Treffone, representing Western Australia. Scoring at 20/1, Jovial Lad provided trainer Angus Armanasco with a breakthrough success, Armanasco having recently re-located to Victoria (from WA).
Jovial Lad was a star 3yo in Perth (taking the 1950 WA Guineas-Derby double) and after his Invitation victory, scored a brilliant win in the Toorak Handicap. Made favourite for the Caulfield Cup, Armanasco was forced to withdraw the horse after vets advised the horse would break down should he start.
Abandoning the “Invited Jockeys” concept after the 1974 edition, the Club (now the VATC) re-named the race the Marlboro Cup. Awarded Group 1 status in 1979, the race moved off Show Day (after 1993) and also underwent a variety of names until 2006, when it finally became the Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes.
Notable winners include Manikato, Mannerism, Tauto (x2), Samson, Anonyme (x2), Magari, Matrice, Nicopolis, Raffindale, Cap d’Antibes and Testa Rossa (x2).
Three-time winner St Joel deserves special mention. He contested the race 5 times, scoring in 1953, 1956 and 1959 (as a 10yo). He also was runner-up in 1954.
Leading trainer is Lee Freedman with four winners between 1992 and 2001, ahead of Bart Cummings and Tony Lopes with three.
With 6 winners from 1990 to 2008, Damien Oliver is leading rider ahead of Craig Williams (5), Mick Goreham (3) and Roy Higgins (3).
|2019||G4-3M||BEGOOD TOYA MOTHER||D BOWMAN||D BATES||5G||95|
|2018||G3-9M||JUNGLE CAT||C APPLEBY||J DOYLE||7H||112|
|2017||G3-TRUE||SANTA ANA LANE||A FREEDMAN||D YENDALL||5G||96|
|2016||G3-TRUE||BON AURUM||C MAHER||K MCEVOY||4H||95|
|2015||G3-TRUE||STRATUM STAR||D WEIR||C WILLIAMS||4H||102|
|2014||F2-TRUE||TRUST IN A GUST||D WEIR||D LANE||4H||97|
|2013||G3 TRUE||REBEL DANE||G PORTELLI||G BOSS||4H||105|
|2012||G3-TRUE||MOMENT OF CHANGE||P MOODY||L NOLEN||4G||99|
|2011||F2-TRUE||TOORAK TOFF||R HORE-LACY||C WILLIAMS||4H||106|
|2010||G3-TRUE||RESPONSE||TEAM ELLERTON||C WILLIAMS||4M||95|
Rail is in the 3m position in 2020 – identical to last year. Good-Fast ground has been a feature of this meeting over the decade
Trainers involved this year with a past winner: D Bowman (2019), M Ellerton & S Zahra (2010), M Moroney (2002) and Leon Corstens (1998)
Oliver is the ‘king” of this race, 6 wins from 1990 to 2008, Williams on his heels with 5 wins from 2005 to 2015. Going for a second win: Bates, Yendall, Lane & Nolen
A/S (Age & Sex):
Tagaloa is out to become the sixth 3yo to win this event, Exceed and Excel (2003) the most recent. Just 4 (3yos) have tried since for 1 third (Alinghi-2004)
OR (Official Handicap Rating):
The winner’s rating (last 10 years) ranges from 95 to 112 with 5 of the past 10 winners carrying the race limit weight
|2019||BEGOOD TOYA MOTHER||3||14||$3.10F||BEGOOD TOYA MOTHER||1ST|
|2018||JUNGLE CAT||5||15||$4.80F||HOME OF THE BRAVE||4TH|
|2017||SANTA ANA LANE||6||14||$3.60F||SCALES OF JUSTICE||7TH|
|2014||TRUST IN A GUST||9||14||$6F||TRUST IN A GUST||1ST|
|2013||REBEL DANE||14||16||$5.50F||REBEL DANE||1ST|
|2012||MOMENT OF CHANGE||15||15||$4.40F||MOMENT OF CHANGE||1ST|
|2011||TOORAK TOFF||7||17||$2.90F||SMART MISSILE||10TH|
A high draw looks no deterrent to a well-fancied runner. More evidence a wide gate can be overcome; in the 69 editions, a double-digit gate has won 22 times (31.8%)
7 of the past 10 winners “found” in the market (single-figure odds). Overall, 20 of the 69 winners of this race started race favourite (28.9% SR)
Private Talk (1979) is our longest-priced winner, notching his second win in the race at 66/1. Double-figure odds winners have saluted on 22 occasions (31.8%)
1966 winner Maritana was 4/5f to become the shortest priced favourite to score. 3yo Our Maizcay (1/1f) narrowly prevailed in a photo in 1995
|YEAR||WINNER||A/S||OR||LAST START||L3||NEXT RACE|
|2019||BEGOOD TOYA MOTHER||5G||95||6th Memsie||1-6.||SPELL|
|2018||JUNGLE CAT||7H||112||1ST UP||1ST UP||13th Toorak|
|2017||SANTA ANA LANE||5G||96||4th Chand Macleod||3-4.||6th Winterbottom|
|2016||BON AURUM||4H||95||1st Tontonan||3-1.||6th Toorak|
|2015||STRATUM STAR||4H||102||3rd Memsie||7-3.||3rd Toorak|
|2014||TRUST IN A GUST||4H||97||1st Caul 1400m Hcp||1-2-1.||1st Toorak|
|2013||REBEL DANE||4H||105||4th Bobbie Lewis||1-4.||5th Manikato|
|2012||MOMENT OF CHANGE||4G||99||3rd Tramway||1-3.||SPELL|
|2011||TOORAK TOFF||4H||106||5th Bobbie Lewis||5||10th Toorak|
|2010||RESPONSE||4M||95||2nd Let's Elope||2-2.||13th Toorak|
This panel illustrates solid recent form trends positively, generally via a black-type feature. The Bobbie Lewis (once a good guide) now 7 days prior (previously 14 -21 days)
L3 (Last 3 Starts):
Toorak Toff (2011) the only second-up winner, however he did hold a high OR (106). The import Jungle Cat (2018) is the solitary winner to score on resumption in the race’s 69-year history
Misery for majority of the winners in the past decade. Trust in a Gust (2014) became the ninth horse to complete the Rupert Clarke-Toorak Hcp double
Pros & Cons
Debt Agent & Harlech have to break the hoodoo on horses returning from a spell with the overseas-trained Jungle Cat (2018) the only Rupert Clarke winner scoring fresh.
Longshot winners are infrequent, 97 horses over the past decade going into the race at odds of $14 (or longer) for just the one winner – Santa Ana Lane ($26 in 2017). Those in this longshot category this year are Mandela Effect, Reykjavik, Achernar Star & Debt Agent.
Returning Rupert Clarke winners have had mixed results with just 3 of 17 scoring – Testa Rossa (2000), Tauto (1971) & Anonyme (1962). Begood Toya Mother profiles inferior to those 3 fabulous gallopers – they were all multiple Group/Feature race winners.
How does Tagaloa measure up to the five 3yos to win this G1 and what value is Blue Diamond success? Just 4 Diamond winners have contested this race as a 3yo: Redoute’s Choice (3rd-1999), Bel Esprit (2nd-2002) & Alinghi (3rd-2004) returned a place. In 1978, Manikato bolted in by 4 lengths – but he’d also won the Golden Slipper as a 2yo.
Two riders have dominated this race over the last 3 decades – Damien Oliver & Craig Williams. Oliver has a record of 6 wins, 2 seconds, 1 third from 20 rides, Williams has 5 wins from 16 rides.
Oliver stays with Cascadian, a horse that arguably should’ve won the 2019 Cantala Stakes, two G1 winners (Fierce Impact & Fifty Stars) running the quinella. Two lead-up races have been excellent & is back to handicap conditions.
Williams is enjoying a stellar 12 months, Melbourne Cup (2019) and Champion G1 jockey in Australia (2019-2020). Behemoth will have to create a metric weight-carrying record (60kg), but Memsie-winning form has been a sound reference to this race.
Horses aged four have won 33 of the 69 runnings of this race, Superstorm a lightly-raced 4yo who will thoroughly enjoy this solid 1400m tempo.