The 70th Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes Fact Sheet

Form Focus Fact Sheet

The 70th Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes

1400m / Group 1 / Handicap / First run: 1951

The Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes was first staged as the Invitation Stakes at Caulfield on Thursday, September 27, 1951, conducted by the Melbourne Racing Club. The leading jockeys of Australia were invited to ride in this newly created event, the race sharing top billing with the WFA Underwood Stakes. Attendance was 50,180.

Victory went to the 4yo Jovial Lad who was ridden by Eric Treffone, representing Western Australia. Scoring at 20/1, Jovial Lad provided trainer Angus Armanasco with a breakthrough success, Armanasco having recently re-located to Victoria (from WA).

Jovial Lad was a star 3yo in Perth (taking the 1950 WA Guineas-Derby double) and after his Invitation victory, scored a brilliant win in the Toorak Handicap. Made favourite for the Caulfield Cup, Armanasco was forced to withdraw the horse after vets advised the horse would break down should he start.

Abandoning the “Invited Jockeys” concept after the 1974 edition, the Club (now the VATC) re-named the race the Marlboro Cup. Awarded Group 1 status in 1979, the race moved off Show Day (after 1993) and also underwent a variety of names until 2006, when it finally became the Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes.

Notable winners include Manikato, Mannerism, Tauto (x2), Samson, Anonyme (x2), Magari, Matrice, Nicopolis, Raffindale, Cap d’Antibes and Testa Rossa (x2).

Three-time winner St Joel deserves special mention. He contested the race 5 times, scoring in 1953, 1956 and 1959 (as a 10yo). He also was runner-up in 1954.

Leading trainer is Lee Freedman with four winners between 1992 and 2001, ahead of Bart Cummings and Tony Lopes with three.

With 6 winners from 1990 to 2008, Damien Oliver is leading rider ahead of Craig Williams (5), Mick Goreham (3) and Roy Higgins (3).

Profile

YEAR T/R WINNER TRAINER JOCKEY A/S OR
2019 G4-3M BEGOOD TOYA MOTHER D BOWMAN D BATES 5G 95
2018 G3-9M JUNGLE CAT C APPLEBY J DOYLE 7H 112
2017 G3-TRUE SANTA ANA LANE A FREEDMAN D YENDALL 5G 96
2016 G3-TRUE BON AURUM C MAHER K MCEVOY 4H 95
2015 G3-TRUE STRATUM STAR D WEIR C WILLIAMS 4H 102
2014 F2-TRUE TRUST IN A GUST D WEIR D LANE 4H 97
2013 G3 TRUE REBEL DANE G PORTELLI G BOSS 4H 105
2012 G3-TRUE MOMENT OF CHANGE P MOODY L NOLEN 4G 99
2011 F2-TRUE TOORAK TOFF R HORE-LACY C WILLIAMS 4H 106
2010 G3-TRUE RESPONSE TEAM ELLERTON C WILLIAMS 4M 95

T/R: (Track/Rail):

Rail is in the 3m position in 2020 – identical to last year. Good-Fast ground has been a feature of this meeting over the decade

Trainers:

Trainers involved this year with a past winner: D Bowman (2019), M Ellerton & S Zahra (2010), M Moroney (2002) and Leon Corstens (1998)

Jockeys:

Oliver is the ‘king” of this race, 6 wins from 1990 to 2008, Williams on his heels with 5 wins from 2005 to 2015. Going for a second win: Bates, Yendall, Lane & Nolen

A/S (Age & Sex):

Tagaloa is out to become the sixth 3yo to win this event, Exceed and Excel (2003) the most recent. Just 4 (3yos) have tried since for 1 third (Alinghi-2004)

OR (Official Handicap Rating):

The winner’s rating (last 10 years) ranges from 95 to 112 with 5 of the past 10 winners carrying the race limit weight

Punting

YEAR WINNER BR FIELD SP FAV FP
2019 BEGOOD TOYA MOTHER 3 14 $3.10F BEGOOD TOYA MOTHER 1ST
2018 JUNGLE CAT 5 15 $4.80F HOME OF THE BRAVE 4TH
2017 SANTA ANA LANE 6 14 $3.60F SCALES OF JUSTICE 7TH
2016 BON AURUM 5 13 $3.80F COUNTERATTACK 6TH
2015 STRATUM STAR 15 18 $4F DISPOSITION 2ND
2014 TRUST IN A GUST 9 14 $6F TRUST IN A GUST 1ST
2013 REBEL DANE 14 16 $5.50F REBEL DANE 1ST
2012 MOMENT OF CHANGE 15 15 $4.40F MOMENT OF CHANGE 1ST
2011 TOORAK TOFF 7 17 $2.90F SMART MISSILE 10TH
2010 RESPONSE 5 17 $3.30F DOUBTFUL JACK 6TH

Barriers:

A high draw looks no deterrent to a well-fancied runner. More evidence a wide gate can be overcome; in the 69 editions, a double-digit gate has won 22 times (31.8%)

SP (Favourite):

7 of the past 10 winners “found” in the market (single-figure odds). Overall, 20 of the 69 winners of this race started race favourite (28.9% SR)

Longshots:

Private Talk (1979) is our longest-priced winner, notching his second win in the race at 66/1. Double-figure odds winners have saluted on 22 occasions (31.8%)

Hotpots:

1966 winner Maritana was 4/5f to become the shortest priced favourite to score. 3yo Our Maizcay (1/1f) narrowly prevailed in a photo in 1995

Performance

YEAR WINNER A/S OR LAST START L3 NEXT RACE
2019 BEGOOD TOYA MOTHER 5G 95 6th Memsie 1-6. SPELL
2018 JUNGLE CAT 7H 112 1ST UP 1ST UP 13th Toorak
2017 SANTA ANA LANE 5G 96 4th Chand Macleod 3-4. 6th Winterbottom
2016 BON AURUM 4H 95 1st Tontonan 3-1. 6th Toorak
2015 STRATUM STAR 4H 102 3rd Memsie 7-3. 3rd Toorak
2014 TRUST IN A GUST 4H 97 1st Caul 1400m Hcp 1-2-1. 1st Toorak
2013 REBEL DANE 4H 105 4th Bobbie Lewis 1-4. 5th Manikato
2012 MOMENT OF CHANGE 4G 99 3rd Tramway 1-3. SPELL
2011 TOORAK TOFF 4H 106 5th Bobbie Lewis 5 10th Toorak
2010 RESPONSE 4M 95 2nd Let's Elope 2-2. 13th Toorak

Last Start:

This panel illustrates solid recent form trends positively, generally via a black-type feature. The Bobbie Lewis (once a good guide) now 7 days prior (previously 14 -21 days)

L3 (Last 3 Starts):

Toorak Toff (2011) the only second-up winner, however he did hold a high OR (106). The import Jungle Cat (2018) is the solitary winner to score on resumption in the race’s 69-year history

Next Race:

Misery for majority of the winners in the past decade. Trust in a Gust (2014) became the ninth horse to complete the Rupert Clarke-Toorak Hcp double

Pros & Cons

Negative:

Debt Agent & Harlech have to break the hoodoo on horses returning from a spell with the overseas-trained Jungle Cat (2018) the only Rupert Clarke winner scoring fresh.

Longshot winners are infrequent, 97 horses over the past decade going into the race at odds of $14 (or longer) for just the one winner – Santa Ana Lane ($26 in 2017). Those in this longshot category this year are Mandela Effect, Reykjavik, Achernar Star & Debt Agent.

Beware:

Returning Rupert Clarke winners have had mixed results with just 3 of 17 scoring – Testa Rossa (2000), Tauto (1971) & Anonyme (1962). Begood Toya Mother profiles inferior to those 3 fabulous gallopers – they were all multiple Group/Feature race winners.

How does Tagaloa measure up to the five 3yos to win this G1 and what value is Blue Diamond success? Just 4 Diamond winners have contested this race as a 3yo: Redoute’s Choice (3rd-1999), Bel Esprit (2nd-2002) & Alinghi (3rd-2004) returned a place. In 1978, Manikato bolted in by 4 lengths – but he’d also won the Golden Slipper as a 2yo.

Positive:

Two riders have dominated this race over the last 3 decades – Damien Oliver & Craig Williams. Oliver has a record of 6 wins, 2 seconds, 1 third from 20 rides, Williams has 5 wins from 16 rides.

Oliver stays with Cascadian, a horse that arguably should’ve won the 2019 Cantala Stakes, two G1 winners (Fierce Impact & Fifty Stars) running the quinella. Two lead-up races have been excellent & is back to handicap conditions.

Williams is enjoying a stellar 12 months, Melbourne Cup (2019) and Champion G1 jockey in Australia (2019-2020). Behemoth will have to create a metric weight-carrying record (60kg), but Memsie-winning form has been a sound reference to this race.

Horses aged four have won 33 of the 69 runnings of this race, Superstorm a lightly-raced 4yo who will thoroughly enjoy this solid 1400m tempo.

Download a Printable PDF for FREE